Probability Of Winniga Slot Machine

15.01.2021by
  • The practical results are gathered in the last chapter, titled 'Practical Applications and Numerical Results,' the largest part of the book, for the most popular categories of slot machines, namely with 3, 5, 9, and 16 reels.
  • Learn how to beat slot machines. Real Money Casinos Mobile Casinos Menu. About Us Contact $ 8 8, 8 8 8, 8 8 8. Slots are almost entirely down to chance, meaning there is very little.
  • Free Slot Machines From Around The World Online casinos to play for virtual money. You should, there is plenty scope for players who want to develop an optimal playing strategy. We will be looking at what makes a great welcome bonus, probability of winning at slot machines the game has topped the charts in both Apple and Google’s Play Store.
  • For example: slot machine odds for hitting one symbol on a standard three-reel machine with ten symbols on each reel are 1 divided by 10, which is actually 9 to 1. The odds of hitting two identical symbols on two reels are 1/10 multiplied by 1/10, which is 1/100, or 99 to 1. The odds of hitting three identical symbols on three reels are.
  • There is a formula to work out the probability of winning on online progressive jackpots, should the slot feature five reels, each with 20 stops or paylines and the jackpot activates by a single payline the probability of winning is 20 x 20 x 20 x 20 x 20 which works out to about 1 in 3,200,000 chances of hitting the progressive jackpot.
  • Appendices
  • Slots Analysis
  • Miscellaneous

The Math of Casino Slot Machines. For every dollar you wager in a slot machine, you will lose 100% - Payback% of that dollar. For example, you're at Bellagio playing the $1 Double Diamond slot, wagering Two Credits ($2) per spin. According to the table, for every $2 spin you will lose 5.33% of that bet. Just shy of 11¢. Probability Of Winning A Slot Machine keep up with. Not forgetting to mention that Probability Of Winning A Slot Machine their games are predominantly based off the movie culture and industry, meaning players can connect to their gaming choices much more significantly.

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Introduction

When it comes to gambling, the easier a game is to understand the worse the odds usually are. This is certainly the case with slot machines. Playing them is as easy as pressing a button. However, between the high house edge and fast rate of play, there is no quicker way to lose your money in a casino.

Before going further, let me make clear that this page addresses the way slot machines work in most parts of the United States and the world. However, some parts of this page do not apply everywhere. For example, I state that slot machines have a memory-less property, where the odds of every spin are the same. In some places, like the UK, some machines in bars, called 'fruit machines,' have a mechanism that guarantees a certain profit over the short run, which causes the game to go through loose and tight cycles. These games do not have the usual independence property of the major slot makers.

How They Work

Whether you're playing a 3-reel single-line game or a 5-reel 25-line game, the outcome of every bet is ultimately determined by random numbers. The game will choose one random number for each reel, map that number onto a position on the reel, stop the reel in the appointed place, and score whatever the outcome is. In other words, the outcome is predestined the moment you press the button; the rest is just for show. There are no hot and cold cycles; your odds are the same for every spin on a given machine.

Slot machines are just about the only game in the casino where the odds are not quantifiable. In other words, the player doesn't know how the game was designed, so it is difficult to look at an actual game to use as an example. So, to help explain how they work, I created the Atkins Diet slot machine (link). It is a simple, five-reel game with a free spin bonus round, much like IGT's Cleopatra game.

For information on how it works and all the odds, please visit my Atkins Diet par sheet.

For a more complicated example, featuring sticky wilds in the bonus, please try my Vamos a Las Vegas slot machine.

For information on how it works and all the odds, please visit my Vamos a Las Vegas par sheet (PDF).

Odds

The following table shows the casino win for Clark County Nevada (where Las Vegas is) for all slots for calendar year 2012. They define 'slot' as any electronic game, including video poker and video keno. I've found video keno to be about equally as tight as reeled slots, but video poker has a much higher return. So, the return for reeled slots should be higher than these figures.

Clark County Slot Win 2012

DenominationCasino Win (pct)
$0.0110.77%
$0.055.96%
$0.255.74%
$1.005.64%
$5.005.51%
$25.003.97%
$100.004.73%
Megabucks12.89%
Multi-denomination5.32%
Total6.58%

Source: Nevada Gaming Control Board, Gaming Revenue Report for December 2012 (PDF, see page 6).

Most players play penny video slots. Based on past research, I find the house edge on those to usually be set from 6% to 15%. In general, the nicer the casino, the tighter the slots.

Advice

While there is no skill to playing slots, there is some skill in selecting which machine to play and ways you can maximize your return. What follows is my advice, if you must play slots at all.

However, there are various other bonus offers available when you sign up to win real money at the best paying online casinos. /crazy-vegas-mobile-casino-no-deposit-bonus.html. The most popular casino bonus is a.

Probability
  • Always use a player card. Slots may be a lousy bet, but the casinos treat slot players very well. A $1 slot player will probably get comped better than a $100 blackjack player. Of course, don't play for the reason of getting comps. You'll give them a lot more than they'll give you.
  • The simpler the game, the better the odds. The fancy games with big signs and video screens tend to not pay as well as the simple games. However, slot players always tell me the fancy games are more fun.
  • The higher the denomination, the better the odds. For that reason, it is better to play one coin per line on a 5-cent game than five coins per line on a 1-cent game.
  • Don't forget to cash out and take your ticket when you leave. It is easy to forget after hitting a jackpot.
  • Try to play slowly and as little as possible to get your fix.
  • In some games there is a skill feature, like Top Dollar. In such games, advice is usually offered, which you should take.

Myths and Facts

Just about everything that players believe about slots is untrue. Here are the most common myths and facts. As a reminder, this page is based on slot machines commonly found in the United States. Some machines, like 'fruit machines' found in the United Kingdom work differently.

  • Myth: Slot machines are programmed to go through a cycle of payoffs. Although the cycle can span thousands of spins, once it reaches the end the outcomes will repeat themselves in exactly the same order as the last cycle.

    Fact: This is not true at all. Every spin is random and independent of all past spins.

  • Myth: Slot machines are programmed to pay off a particular percentage of money bet. Thus, after a jackpot is hit the machine will tighten up to get back in balance. On the other hand, when a jackpot has not been hit for a long time it is overdue and more likely to hit.

    Fact: As just mentioned, each spin is independent of all past spins. That means that for a given machine game, the odds are always the same. It makes no difference when the last jackpot was hit or how much the game paid out in the last hour, day, week, or any period of time.

  • Myth: Machines pay more if a player card is not used.

    Fact: The mechanism that determines the outcome of each play does not consider whether a card is used or not. The odds are the same with or without one.

  • Myth: Using a player card enables the casino to report my winnings to the IRS.

    Fact: That makes no difference. If you win $1,200 or more they will report it either way. If you have a net losing year, which you probably will, at least the casino will have evidence of it. Such annual win/loss statements may be used as evidence to declare offsetting loses to jackpot wins.

  • Myth: The slot department can tighten my game with the press of a button remotely. Thus, you better be nice to the staff and tip them well, or they will use a remote control to have the machine take you down in a hurry.

    Fact: There is now some truth to the myth that the odds of a machine can be changed remotely. Such 'server-based slots' are still experimental and in a minority. Even with server-based slots, there are regulations in place to protect the player from the perceived abuses that could accompany them. For example, in Nevada a machine can not be altered remotely unless it has been idle for at least four minutes. Even then, the game will display a notice that it is being serviced during such changes. (source) Meanwhile, for the vast majority of slots, somebody would physically need to open the machine and change a computer chip, known as an EPROM chip, to make any changes.

  • Myth: The machines by the doors and heavy traffic flow areas tend to be loose while those hidden in quiet corners tend to be tight.

    Fact: I've studied the relationship between slot placement and return and found no correlation. Every slot director I've asked about this laughs it off as just another player myth.

  • Myth: Slots tend to be looser during slow hours on slow days of the week. However, when the casino is busy they tighten them up.

    Fact: Nobody would take the trouble to do this, even if he could. The fact of the matter is the casinos are trying to find a good balance between winning some money while letting the player leave happy. That is best achieved by slots loose enough to give the player a sufficiently long 'time on device,' as they call it in the industry, with a reasonable chance of winning so he will return to the same casino next time. If the slots are too tight, the players will sense it and be unlikely to return.

    The kind of place you're likely to find tight slots are those with a captive audience, like the Las Vegas airport. So, if the slot manager feels that 92% is the right return for a penny game, for example, he is likely to set every penny game all that way, and keep them that way for years.

Play

Atkins Diet
Analysis
Vamos a Las Vegas
Analysis (PDF). Australian Reels — One Line
Analysis (PDF)
Australian Reels — Five Line
Analysis
21 Bell
Analysis
Fruit Machine
Analysis

Reviews

  • Dazzle Me (NetEnt)
  • Mr. Vegas (Betsoft)
  • Sparks (NetEnt)

Internal Links

  • Appendix 1 shows the details and analysis of almost 4000 actual spins on a Reno slot machine.
  • Appendix 2 shows an example of the virtual reels behind a hypothetical slot machine and how the average return is calculated.
  • Appendix 3A: 2003 Las Vegas slot machine rankings.
  • Appendix 3B: 2002 Jean/Primm slot machine rankings.
  • Appendix 3C: 2002 Tunica slot machine rankings.
  • Appendix 3D: 2002 Henderson/Lake Mead slot machine rankings.
  • Appendix 3E: 2002 Quarter and dollar returns for Las Vegas slots
  • Appendix 4 shows how the return is calculated for my Wizard's Fruit Slot Machine.
  • Appendix 5 analysis of the 21 Bell Slot Machine.
  • Appendix 6 Analysis of Red, White, & Blue Slot Machine.
  • Lock and Roll analysis of the skill-based slot machine found in North Carolina.
  • Deconstructing Jackpot Party analysis of the video slot machine.
  • Deconstructing Lion's Share analysis of the classic MGM progressive game.
  • Deconstructing Cleopatra analysis of the popular IGT game.
  • Deconstructing Lionfish analysis of the slot game found on many Game Maker machines.
  • Deconstructing Megabucks.
  • Deconstructing the Atkins Diet slot machine.
  • Deconstructing Lucky Larry's Lobstermania.
  • Deconstructing Hexbreaker.
  • Deconstructing Blazing Sevens.
  • Deconstructing Hot Roll.
  • Mystery progressives on Ainsworth slots.
  • Mystery progressives on WMS slots.
  • Baltimore Sun article, in which I am quoted.
  • 100% Rebate on Slot Losses Promotions: When to quit playing when all losses are refunded.
Slot machine odds of winning

External Links

Probability Of Winning Slot Machine

  • For a simplified explanation of slots, please see my companion site Wizard of Vegas
  • German translation of this page is available at richtigspielen.com
  • Another decent overview of how slots work and some practical advice for playing them is How Slot Machines Work at VegasClick.com.
  • PAR Sheets, probabilities, and slot machine play: Implications for problem and non-problem gambling by Kevin A. Harrigan and Mike Dixon, University of Waterloo, Waterloo, Ontario, Canada. This is an outstanding academic paper that details how some popular slot machines were designed.
  • PAR Sheets, probabilities, and slot machine play: Implications for problem and non-problem gambling - Academic paper based on the par sheets for some modern slot machines

Slot Machine Probability Mathematics


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Written by: Michael Shackleford
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